Bundesliga One Preview 1st to 3rd November


budesligaThe top three in Bundesliga One all won last weekend so after ten rounds of matches the status quo remains with Bayern Munich a point clear of Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen at the top of the log. Dortmund are the first of the big guns in action this week when they host Stuttgart on Friday night and that’s where we start our preview.

Dortmund v Stuttgart (Friday 21:30)
With Bayern not in action until Saturday Dortmund can go top of the log on Friday night and as they have won all five of their previous home games in the league, they will be a popular choice to do just that. It’s worth pointing out that all five of those Dortmund home wins came against sides currently placed no higher than tenth so eighth placed Stuttgart could well offer more resistance than Jurgen Klopp’s men have encountered thus far. Stuttgart let favourite backers down last Friday when they were held 1-1 at home by Nuremburg. The point at least extends Stuttgart’s unbeaten run to seven league matches although four of the last five have finished all square and coincidentally, Stuttgart have taken a point from each of their last four visits to Dortmund..

Match Result Betting: Dortmund 1 / 4, Draw 17/4, Stuttgart 9/1
Selection: Match result draw, 17/4

Hoffenheim v Bayern Munich (Saturday 16:30)
Bayern are the only unbeaten side in the top flight with eight league wins and two draws. The dropped points came in away fixtures at Freiburg and Leverkusen both of which finished 1-1 whilst they won with a clean sheet at Frankfurt (1-0) and Schalke (4-0). Hoffenheim are the Bundesliga’s great entertainers with 25 goals scored and 23 conceded in just ten league games and that goal rush could well continue here.

Match Result Betting: Hoffenheim 17/2, Draw 17/4, Bayern 1 / 4
Selection: Away team to score in both halves (yes) 13/20

Eintracht Frankfurt v Wolfsburg (Saturday 19:30)
Frankfurt’s run of four consecutive draws in the Bundesliga came to an end in Week 10 when they crashed 4-1 at Monchengladbach.  They have yet to win at home with two draws and two defeats although those losses came against the best the Bundesliga can offer, Bayern and Dortmund. Wolfsburg are the only top flight side yet to finish all square but only one of their five wins came away from home. They did finish last week in sixth position though and if they can sort their away form out they could challenge for a place in the Europa League next season. Avoiding defeat here would be a step in the right direction for Wolfsburg and they get the vote to take a least a point from the game.

Match Result Betting: Frankfurt 5/4, Draw 9/4, Wolfsburg 21/10
Selection: Double Chance Draw/Wolfsburg 13/20

Werder Bremen v Hannover (Sunday 18:30)
Sunday’s televised game sees Werder host Hannover and the visitors are a point better off in the mid to lower half of the league table. It’s worth pointing out that Hannover struggle away from home and they have yet to pick up a point or even score a goal in their four road trips this season. Werder are hardly prolific themselves and in a tricky looking betting heat, an interest in at least one side failing to score gets the the vote.

Match Result Betting: Werder 6/5, Draw 23/10, Hannover 23/10
Selection: Both teams to score (no) 5/4

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Lions v Cape Cobras, Momentum One Day Cup Wednesday 30th October


Momentum One Day CupWednesday’s action in the Momentum One Day Cup includes a big game at The Wanderers where the Lions and the Cobras meet in front of the television cameras.

These two teams currently share this trophy but this time around the Lions are in trouble with just one win to show from six games. The Cobras are in a healthier position, currently third on the log three points behind the Dolphins and two shy of the Warriors. With four rounds of matches still to play the Cobras also have work to do to  deliver on the minimum objective of a top three finish.

The Lions only success so far this season came against this opposition at Newlands where they bowled the Cobras out for 206 and made it over the finishing line in the final over for a four wicket win. The Lions also won at the Cobras last season but they were beaten by the Cape side in the return in Potch.

Lions Current Form
13 Oct Potchefstroom, lost to the Dolphins by 6 wickets
16 Oct Potchefstroom, lost to the Warriors by 54 runs
18 Oct Wanderers, lost to the Titans by 1 run
20 Oct Newlands, won against the Cobras by 4 wickets
25 Oct Bloemfontein, lost to the Knights by 4 wickets
27 Oct Maritzburg, no result v Dolphins

Cobras Current Form
11 Oct Centurion, beat the Titans by 2 runs
16 Oct Bloemfontein, beat the Knights by 28 runs
18 Oct East London, no result v Warriors
20 Oct Newlands, lost to Lions by wickets
25 Oct Paarl, no result v Dolphins
27 Oct Paarl, beat Titans by 4 wickets.

The Betting
Match Result, Lions 21/20, Cobras 5 / 7

The Lions have only played one match at The Wanderers this season and it saw 601 runs scored as the home side came up one short of the Titans total of 301. This should be another high scoring encounter and it could well develop into another thriller.

With the Lions effectively out of contention if they lose again they will be no pushovers and a home win is a tentative pre-match call. Look out for the in play markets with the likelihood of a high scoring game in store.

Selection: Lions to win the match

Elsewhere on Wednesday the Dolphins look to strengthen their hand at the top of the table with a home fixture against the Knights at Kingsmead and they 8/13 at first show to oblige for favourite backers.

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Pakistan v South Africa, 1st One Day International, Wednesday 30th October


Pakv SAAfter a drawn test series Pakistan and South Africa switch focus to the ODI’s with the first of five contests taking place at the Sharjah Cricket Association Stadium on Wednesday.

Let’s begin with a look at the Proteas squad for this series although we should note that Dale Steyn will be rested for the first two ODI’s and Hashim Amla is attending the birth of his child and may well miss at least the series opener.

Proteas Squad: AB de Villiers (wk), Quinton de Kock, Graeme Smith, Hashim Amla, JP Duminy, Faf du Plessis, Imran Tahir, Morne Morkel, Robin Peterson, Vernon Philander, Dale Steyn, Ryan McLaren, David Miller, Lonwabo Tsotsobe, Wayne Parnell (Colin Ingram standby)

Pakistan are led by Misbah and their bowling attack is very similar to their test squad whilst Mohammad Hafeez is also included after being overlooked for the test series. Shahid Afridi is also in the squad forming part of the spin attack with Saeed Ajmal. Let’s take a look at some recent form.

Recent ODI Series Results – Pakistan
September 2013 Pakistan in Zimbabwe , Pakistan won the series 2-1
August 2013 Pakistan in West Indies, Pakistan won the series 3-1
June 2013 ICC Champions Trophy (England), Pakistan lost all three group matches
March 2013 Pakistan in South Africa, South Africa won the series 3-2

Recent ODI Series Results – South Africa
July 2013 South Africa in Sri Lanka, South Africa lost 4-1
June 2013 ICC Champions Trophy (England), South Africa beaten semi finalists
March 2013 Pakistan in South Africa, South Africa won the series 3-2

Recent Head to Head
The Proteas won an ICC Champions Trophy group match against Pakistan by 67 runs in the most recent meeting but we have seen a couple of nail-biting series in recent times, not least South Africa’s 3-2 win earlier this year. The Proteas last ODI series in the UAE was staged three years ago and they also edged it 3-2.

The Betting,
To Win the First ODI, Pakistan 11/10, South Africa 2 / 3
1st ODI Most Sixes, Pakistan 8/5, Draw 6/1, South Africa 7/10
1st ODI Highest First 15 Overs, Pakistan 19/20 South Africa 3 / 4

The absence of Steyn and quite possibly Amla in the early part of this series is a blow to Proteas and the new arrivals such as Miller and McLaren, who have been in good touch domestically will need to adapt to the UAE conditions quickly. Pakistan are unpredictable in any format of the game but this is their chance to seize the early initiative.

Selection: Pakistan to win the match 11/10

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Super Rugby 2014, Team Wins Preview


Super Rugby 2013With the Currie Cup now something of the past it is time to turn our attention to Super Rugby where Voltbet have priced up on the number of wins each team will get in the regular season.

How it works
Voltbet set the wins line and you bet either over, under or for a tie. For example the Crusaders line is set at  11 wins. If you fancy them to get 12 or more wins you take the 17/20 over 11, if you think they will get 10 wins or less you back the 12/10 under 11 and if you fancy the line is spot on then take the 7/1 exactly 7 wins.

For the purposes of this preview we will focus on the SA teams

sharks logoSharks
Odds: Over 10 9/10, under 10 12/10, exactly 10 13/2
2012/13: 2012 – 10 wins, 2013 – 8 wins

Verdict: The Sharks are favoured to win the SA Conference but due to it being so competitive the sides are always likely to take points off each other. It is hard to make a confident call wither way and the 13/2 exactly 10 wins looks good value.

stormers logoStormers
Odds: Over 9 17/20, under 9 13/10, exactly 9 6/1
2012/13: 2012 – 14 wins, 2013 – 9 wins

Verdict: The Stormers have a horror draw which could see them lose momentum early. I think Voltbet have set the line well and once again I think we will get a run for our money with the tie or exactly 9 wins at 6/1.

bulls logoBulls
Odds: Over 10 1/1, under 10 1/1, exactly 10 7/1
2012/13: 2012 – 10 wins, 2013 – 12 wins

Verdict: The Bulls have achieved at least 10 wins the last 2 years but they have lost a number of key players including points machine Morne Steyn. I really like under 10 wins at 1/1.

cheetahs logoCheetahs
Odds: Over 6 13/20, under 6 19/10, exactly 6 5/1
2012/13: 2012 – 5 wins, 2013 – 10 wins

Verdict: The Cheetahs had an incredible 2013 and it will certainly be a hard act to follow. They will never be an easy touch however the 19/10 under 6 wins is tempting.

lions logoLions
Odds: Over 3 13/10, under 3 13/10, exactly 3 3/1
2012/13: 2012 – 3 wins, 2013 – Did not play

Verdict: The Lions return to Super Rugby and face an uphill battle in a very strong Conference. It is hard to see them finishing far above 3 wins and the 3/1 exactly 3 wins would be my bet if pushed as it was also the number of wins the Kings got last season.

Sharks 10 wins exactly at 13/2
Stormers 9 wins exactly at 6/1
Bulls under 10 wins at 1/1

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WGC HSBC Champions Betting Preview


WGC HSBC ChampionsThe Sheshan International Golf Club in Shanghai is the venue for the World Golf Championships HSBC Champions event starting on 31 October.

The Course
Sheshan Golf Club is a par 72 measuring 6531 meters. Scoring tends to be lower than at other WGC events so a hot putter and good form are generally key pointers in finding a winner. While shorter hitters cannot be discounted it does not hurt to be long off the tee as scoring well on the par 5’s will be crucial.

Past Winners
2009: Phil Mickelson -17
2010: Francesco Molinari -19
2011: Martin Kaymer -20
2012: Ian Poulter -21 (played at Mission Hills)

The Field
Perhaps not as strong as other WGC events with a certain Mr. Woods missing. McIlroy 12/1 and Stenson 14/1 head the betting and you have to scroll a fair way down to find a South African with Els and Oosthuizen at 55/1.

Keegan Bradley 25/1 a win, 4/1 Top 5
Faded badly last week after looking a winner halfway through the CIMB Classic. That is obviously a concern but my hope is that he will take positives from the week and will string 4 rounds together on a course which should suit his power game.

Peter Uihlein 40/1 a win, 6/1 Top 5
He ran into the places last week in Shanghai and but for a poor 2nd round he could well have contended. I had never heard of him before this year but he is proving very consistent and is worth an interest despite the strength of the field.

Ernie Els 55/1 a win, 17/4 a top 10
Ernie is not in great form but he loves this event and has 2 runner up finishes in 4 years (one of which was at Mission Hills in 2012). His game is not quite where I would like to see it but he is not without a chance and I am going to have a go at him for a top 10 finish this week.

Bradley win and top 5 (25/1, 4/1)
Uihlein win and top 5 (40/1 6/1)
Els top 10 (17/4)

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India v Australia Sixth ODI Wednesday 30th October


india v ausBad weather put paid to any chances of a result in the fourth and fifth contests in the seven match ODI series between India and Australia. It all means the pressure is firmly on the hosts as Australia take a 2-1 lead into the sixth match which takes place at Nagpur on Wednesday.

India are tasked with having to win both of the remaining matches to take the series, starting here at Nagpur and Saturday’s finale at Bangalore. Here is a quick summary of the series results so far.

1st ODI Pune, Australia (304/8) beat India (232 all out) by 72 runs
2nd ODI Jaipur, Australia 359/5 lost to India (362/1) by 9 wickets
3rd ODI Mohali, India 303/9 lost to Australia (304/6) by 4 wickets
4th ODI Ranchi, 295/8, India 27/0 no result
5th ODI Cuttack, Match abandoned, no play possible.

Series Stats
Leading Run Scorers: Bailey (Aus) 318, Kohli (Ind) 229, Rohit Sharma (Ind) 203
Leading Wicket Takers: Vinay Kumar (Ind) 7, Johnson & Faulkner (Aus) 5, Ashwin (Ind) 5

The Venue, Vidarbha Cricket Association Stadium, Jamtha, Nagpur
This venue has played host to only six previous ODI’s, three of which involved India. The four most recent contests came in the 2011 World Cup including a thrilling chase by the Proteas to overhaul and Indian total of 296. Earlier in the tournament Australia thrashed New Zealand by seven wickets here, chasing down 207 for victory with all of 16 overs remaining. We also have one previous head to head at this venue and India’s mammoth  bat first total of 354/7 (Dhoni 124) was 99 too many for Australia back in October 2009. Despite losing that game, Australia went on to win the series 4-2.

Selected Betting:
Match Result: India 6/10, Australia 5/4
Most Sixes: India 27/20 Draw 6/1 Australia ¾
Highest First 15 Over Total: India 3 / 4 Australia 19/20

Gut feeling is that the series will go down to the wire with the final match in Bangalore deciding the outcome but India are plenty short enough at 6/10 to turn that scenario into reality.

Clearing the ropes the most times is no guarantee of winning the match but with Dhoni boasting a ton at this venue a chance is taken that India will hit the most sixes at an attractive price.

Selection: India to hist the most sixes 27/20

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Capital One Cup Round 4 Soccer Betting Odds, 29th, 30th October


capital one cupThe Capital One Cup has reached the last 16 stage and five of the eight ties are all Premier League affairs, the pick of which is Chelsea’s visit to Arsenal.

Arsenal v Chelsea (Tuesday 21:45)
Arsenal retained their position at the top of the Premier League standings at the weekend with a 2-0 win at Crystal Palace whilst Chelsea moved into second spot, two points behind the Gunners with a 2-1 home win over Manchester City. The League Cup provides us with a very different conundrum as Arsenal in particular tend to ring the changes and give the youngsters a chance. That was certainly the case in the previous round where Arsenal drew 1-1 (after extra time) at West Brom before holding their nerve to win the penalty shoot out. Chelsea won 2-0 at Swindon in Round 3, their side also contained many changes to what you would expect for a league game but their squad has plenty of depth.
Betting (90 minutes): Arsenal 14/10, Draw 22/10 Chelsea 50/33
Selection: If Arsenal opt to rest their big guns again, Chelsea could well win this in 90 minutes. Chelsea to win,  50/33

Newcastle v Manchester City (Wednesday 21:45)
Both sides lost big league games at the weekend, Newcastle were beaten 2-1 in their local derby at Sunderland and a late goalkeeping error by Joe Hart handed Chelsea a 2-1 win over City at Stamford Bridge. The home side have had injury problems in defence recently whilst City have often looked vulnerable away from home this season so both teams to find the net looks likely.
Betting (90 minutes): Newcastle 16/5, Draw 5/2 Man City 13/20
Selection: Both teams to score (yes) 6/10

Spurs v Hull City (Wednesday 21:45)
Spurs needed a disputed late penalty to see off Hull 1-0 in a Premier League clash here at the weekend and the trend in their league season so far has generally been for low scoring games. However Spurs cup games have seen plenty of goals including a 4-0 win at Villa in the previous round of this competition and they have also made a foot perfect start to their Europa League campaign. Hull’s focus this season is on retaining Premier League status and they are making a good fist of that so far. With a less pressure in these cup matches, we should see a more watchable contest than witnessed here on Sunday.
Betting (90 minutes): Spurs 3/10, Draw 10/3 Hull 15/2
Selection: Over 2.5 goals, 7/10.

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Why Vettel was reprimanded after winning fourth title


Red Bull driver was summoned to stewards for ignoring post-race procedures and performing crowd-pleasing ‘donuts’

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Pumas v Griquas, 2nd Promotion/Relegation preview


Griquas v PumasThe Griquas came from behind to snatch victory in Kimberley but the narrow margin of victory means it’s virtually a case of winner take all when they take on the Pumas in Nelspruit on Friday night.

Last week
The Pumas raced to a 13-0 lead and then withstood attack after attack as the Griquas dominated everywhere but on the scoreboard. The dam wall finally broke and Griquas scored a converted try on the hooter to win 21-19. Neither team managed to get the 4 try bonus point but the Pumas did pick up a losing by less than 7 bonus point.

Head to Head
2013: Griquas 21 Pumas 19 (playoff)
2011: Griquas 31 Pumas 34
2011: Pumas 33 Griquas 40
2010: Pumas 31 Griquas 61
2010: Griquas 58 Pumas 25

Match Betting: Pumas 1/1, Draw 25/1, Griquas 7/9

With a place in next seasons Currie Cup Premier division at stake the hunger of both teams can be taken for granted. Griquas came out of last week’s game wondering how they managed to only sneak a win and while the Pumas defense was solid they had only themselves to blame for butchering try after try.

If pushed to pick a winner here I would lean towards Griquas but my interest will be elsewhere.

Voltbet will be up with total points quotes later today and I suspect the line will be around 50-54 points. If so then I will be on overs as these sides have historically produced high scoring affairs and last week’s game was only low scoring due to the indiscipline and carelessness of the Griquas. The points could well flow tonight.

Bet: Overs on total points if the line is set below 53.5

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US Sports Round Up, 26th, 27th October


us sportsThe popularity of betting on major US Sports amongst local punters is increasing rapidly and we pick out a game from the MLS, MLB and NHL as a taster for a busy weekend.

Hockey: NHL Pittsburgh Penguins v New York Islanders (Saturday 01:00)
The Penguins have won seven and lost two whilst the Islanders have three wins and six losses.  Pittsburgh were beaten 1-0 by Colorado, one of just two teams above them in the overall standings last week but overall form is solid and the head to head match ups are 41-27 in the Pens favour with two draws.

Betting: Penguins 17/20, Draw 3/1, Islanders 24/10
Verdict: Penguins return to winning ways.

Soccer: MLS Chivas USA v Portland Timbers (Sunday 04:30)
This is the final game for these sides in the regular season and it will be televised live locally. With Chivas on a four game losing streak including a couple of five goal hidings the home side, who are bottom of the Western Conference, will do well to hold Portland.

Betting: Chivas 4/1, Draw 5/2 Portland 11/10
Verdict: When the teams met last month it finished all square at 1-1 but the form lines have headed in opposite directions since then and Portland have every incentive to win whilst Chivas have just pride to play for.  A win for Timbers will see them finish top of the log whilst Chivas race is already run and though it might fall into the too obvious category, Portland really should come out on top.

Bet: HT/FT Portland/Portland 29/20

American Football: NFL Detroit Lions v Dallas Cowboys (Sunday 19:00)
Both these teams have won four and lost three so far this season. Head to head history falls in favour of the Cowboys who have five wins to the Lions two and the trend is usually for high scoring matches.

02/10/11 NFL Dallas 30-34 Detroit
21/11/10 NFL Dallas 35-19 Detroit
09/12/07 NFL Detroit 27-28 Dallas

Betting:  Lions 11/20, Cowboys 14/10 (Inc. Overtime)
Verdict:  This should be an entertaining game which could see the lead change hands a number of times. The Lions are no strangers to high scoring games but this could be close and a conservative option is to back over 47.5 points.

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