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When you put a bunch of sports maniacs in one office, something like this is bound to happen sooner or later. Thank you for watching
When you buy property the golden rule is ‘location, location, location’.
Real Madrid (9/20) v Atletico Madrid (17/4)
Real Madrid will look to add some gloss to a rather poor season when they attempt to capture the Copa del Ray as they take on neighbours Atletico Madrid on Friday night. Real Madrid are the only side in Europe’s top leagues to maintain an unbeaten home record with 23 wins and 5 draws from their 28 matches at the Bernabeu. Los Blancos are also on a five-match unbeaten run and welcome back Alvaro Arbeloa,Sergio Ramos, Marcelo, and Mesut Ozil from injury. Atletico Madrid are 3rd on the La Liga log but have not beaten Real Madrid since 1999! That is 13 years and 25 matches without a victory against their neighbours! With that stat alone, it would take a brave punter to back them to end it in a major Cup Final! Atletico are not in the best form with just two wins in their last five matches but midfielder Mario Suarez has recovered from a back problem and is set to return to the starting line-up in place of Tiago. Atletico Madrid do have Falcao in their side and he can be dangerous but Real Madrid are far superior on paper with the likes of Ronaldo, Benzema and Maria in their attacking unit. Real Madrid have also scored in 19 consecutive Copa del Rey matches which is an impressive statistic. The Over 2.5 goals is trading at 9/20 and looks as a banker for any weekend multiples. Looking at the betting and I cannot see anything other than a Real Madrid victory. The fact that Atletico have not won against their neighbours this MILLENIUM is a massive mental block for their players and Real Madrid are a far better team. Wigan pulled off one Cup Final miracle this season and that’s enough! Real Madrid will win this match by a minimum 2 goal margin and the HT/FT bet of Real Madrid/Real Madrid is trading at 6/5 and looks the best bet for this clash. Viva Los Blancos!
Stats
Head to Head at the Bernabeu
1 Dec 2012 – Real Madrid 2 Atletico Madrid 0
26 Nov 2011 – Real Madrid 4 Atletico Madrid 1
13 Jan 2011 – Real Madrid 3 Atletico Madrid 1
7 Nov 2010 – Real Madrid 2 Atletico Madrid 0
Form
Real Madrid (D-W-W-W-W)
Atletico Madrid (L-W-D-L-W)
Chelsea (13/20) v Everton (17/4)
Chelsea host Everton in their final match of the Premier League season and will be looking to cement their top 4 spot with just 1 point required to give the Blues Champions League football next season. Rafa Benitez will take charge of Chelsea for one last time as his interim managerial reign ends on Saturday and he should expect a decent response from the home fans after winning the Europa League Title in midweek with a last gasp Ivanovic goal sealing the victory. It has been a tough season for Benitez but the Europa League win should give the home fans plenty to cheer at Stamford Bridge. Everton are guaranteed 6th spot in the EPL regardless of results on the final day of the season and it has been a good season for the Merseysiders who win finish above Liverpool on the standings. David Moyes makes his final appearance as Everton manager after taking the reins at Old Trafford next season and he will be looking to bow out in style. Everton have a good record against Chelsea, of the last 12 matches between the sides, Chelsea have won 3, Everton have won 3 and 6 have ended in a draw! The Double Chance of Everton/Draw is trading at 13/10 and looks a good bet with head to head history! An important stat is that Chelsea have won the most points in matches between the top six sides in the EPL this season while Everton have only won 3 of their last 20 EPL matches in London! I think the Chelsea players are on a high after picking up a trophy in midweek while the Everton players will be concerned that their manager has jumped ship. I make Chelsea to win at odds of 13/20 a cracking bet and for the punter chasing bigger odds, Chelsea/Chelsea in the HT/FT market is trading at 3/2 and looks a decent shout.
Stats
Head to Head at Stamford Bridge
15 Oct 2011 – Chelsea 3 Everton 1
19 Feb 2011 – Chelsea 1 Everton 1
4 Dec 2010 – Chelsea 1 Everton 1
12 Dec 2009 – Chelsea 3 Everton 3
Form
Chelsea (W-W-D-W-W)
Everton (W-D-W-L-D)
Rebels (+6.5) v Stormers (-6.5)
The Stormers travel to Melbourne to take on the Rebels in a last gasp bid to save their S15 season! The Stormers will need a miraculous end to their Super Rugby campaign if they are to sneak into the play-offs and anything less than a bonus point victory against the Rebels would be a failure. The Stormers are currently 8 points off the playoff places and were disappointing in their defeat to the Waratahs last weekend. The Stormers have made six changes to that side with Rynhardt Elstadt and Duane Vermeulen both out injured. Deon Fourie moves to flank and Nizaam Carr and Scarra Ntubeni get starts with Elton Jantjies preferred at flyhalf. The Rebels are 6 points behind the Stormers on the log and just playing for pride after their 4th consecutive defeat last weekend. The Rebels are without Kurtley Beale who has checked into rehad for Alcohol related issues and the unknown Bryce Hegarty makes a debut for the Rebels at 10. Looking at the betting and one must bear in mind that it is the Stormers last match of their overseas tour which has taken it’s toll on the men from Cape Town. Fatigue will be a factor but with the Rebels without their two stars in Beale and O’Connor, I am giving the Stormers the edge. I expect the Stormers to win by double digits and make the Stormers -6.5 one of the better bets this weekend.
Stats
Head to Head
Round 18, 2012 – Stormers 26 Rebels 21
Round 16, 2011- Rebels 3 Stormers 40
Form
Rebels (L,L,L,B,L) Stormers (L,L,W,B,W)
Bulls (-14.5) v Highlanders (+14.5)
The Bulls take on the Highlanders at Loftus this weekend and the Top placed South African side will look to cement their spot with a bonus point victory as the target. The Bulls picked up 4 points for a bye last weekend and are sitting pretty with a 5 point lead in the SA Conference. The Bulls have been superb at home this season with 5 wins out of 5 in their back yard at an average winning score of 33-19. There most impressive performance to date came in Round 12 where they smashed the Hurricanes 48-14 in a one sided contest. The Highlanders could not build on their first win of the season and they went down to the Kings in PE. It was the Highlanders 9th loss of the season which has them firmly rooted to the bottom of the Super Rugby Table with just 16 points to show for their 10 matches played. The Bulls have 41 points which shows the gap between the sides in 2013! Looking at this clash and the Bulls have been given a handsome start by Voltbet with a handicap of -14.5. Onto the team news and Zane
Kirchner has not yet recovered from his finger operation and will spend one more week on the sidelines while Pierre Spies plays his 100th Super Rugby match for the Bulls and Morne Steyn is set to become the most capped Super Rugby player for the Franchise making his 117th appearance in the S15! The Highlanders had not named their team at the time of writing. Looking at the betting and the history between the sides and one would expect a game with plenty of points! The All-Time average score between the sides is 31-31 with an average of 62 points scored in each encounter. Anything over 56 points and I am getting on the Overs in the points market! I fancy the Bulls to dominate all areas of this match and expect them to cover both the Half-Time handicap of -7.5 and the Full-Time handicap. Go Bulle!
Stats
Head to Head in Pretoria
Round 3, 2011 – Bulls 28 Highlanders 35
Round 5, 2010 – Bulls 50 Highlanders 35
Round 10, 2008 – Bulls 47 Highlanders 17
Round 5, 2006 – Bulls 23 Highlanders 16
Form
Bulls (B,W,W,W,W)
Highlanders (L,W,B,L,L)
Cheetahs (6/7) v Reds (10/11)
The Cheetahs host the Reds in a Saturday evening clash in Super Rugby. The Cheetahs were brought back down to Earth with a defeat at home against the Hurricanes last weekend which was a bit of a speed bump in an impressive season. The Cheetahs are 2nd in the SA Conference but 2 points off the playoff places and this is a must win for them, particularly as the match is in Bloemfontein. The Reds are 2nd on the Aussie Conference and 3rd on the Overall log standings after an impressive win against the Sharks last weekend where they dominated proceedings from the opening minute! The Reds have had to endure a 40-hour trip to the Free State but do have James Horwill back from his head knock. Jono Lance is the only doubt from the starting XV from last weekend. The Cheetahs are without Burton Francis for this clash so Elgar Watts starts in the flyhalf position. This should be a great match to watch with both teams able to through the ball around which should make for a classic free-running battle. Willie le Roux is the man to watch for the Cheetahs while Quade Cooper should spark the fireworks in the Reds team. This is a tough matchto call but I think the Reds travelling will have an adverse effect on the way they start this match and am tipping the Cheetahs to lead at Half-Time at odds of 8/9. The Cheetahs are off the back of a defeat and will be looking to bounce back while the could catch the Reds cold in the first 40 minutes.
Stats
Head to Head in Bloemfontein
Round 7, 2010 – Cheetahs 10 Reds 31
Round 8, 2008 – Cheetahs 29 Reds 14
Round 7, 2006 – Cheetahs 10 Reds 6
Form
Reds (W,D,W,D,W)
Cheetahs (L,B,W,W,L)
Aston Villa (3/1) vs Chelsea (19/20)
Chelsea continue their push for a Champions League spot when they take on Aston Villa on Saturday in the lunch time kick off. The Blues were held to a 2-2 draw midweek in a great clash with fellow Champions League chasing Tottenham. The Blues took a 2-1 lead into half time but a Sigurdsson goal in the 80th minute salvaged a draw for Spurs. Chelsea are currently 3rd on the EPL Log, 2 points ahead of Arsenal and 3 points ahead of Spurs with 2 games to go. Aston Villa eased their relegation fears with excellent back to back victories over Sunderland and Norwich which has taken Villa to the all-important 40 point mark. Villa are currently 5 points off 18th spot and their EPL looks safe for next season. The sides have met 134 times with Aston Villa winning 50 of those clashes, Chelsea have won 52 and 32 have ended all square. Chelsea have won 3 of their last 4 matches against Villa at Villa Park with an average score line of 2-1. A repeat of a 2-1 win for Chelsea is trading at 13/2 and looks a good bet in the Correct Score market. This clash is far more important to Chelsea than to Aston Villa so the Blues have more motivation in their camp. Chelsea have also only failed to score in 3 of their last 20 away fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches! I expect Villa to remain competitive for the first half with Chelsea winning it late on and suggest a bet on Draw/Chelsea in the Half-time / Full-time market at odds of 4/1. For the more risk averse, I suggest a straight bet on Chelsea to win the match at odds of 19/20. Chelsea did hammer Villa 8-0 earlier in the season at Stamford Bridge and they do seem to have a winning habit against their Villa counterparts. Go on you Blues!
Stats
Head to Head at Villa Park
31 Mar 2012 – Aston Villa 2 Chelsea 4
30 Jul 2011 – Aston Villa 0 Chelsea 2
16 Oct 2010 – Aston Villa 0 Chelsea 0
10 Apr 2010 – Aston Villa 0 Chelsea 3
Form
Aston Villa (W-W-L-D-W)
Chelsea (D-W-W-W-W)
The Sevens circuit wraps up this weekend when the teams travel to the UK for the London Sevens. New Zealand have sealed their 11th IRB Series crown and have been the most consistent side this season while South Africa have won the most Cup Finals with 3 under their belts. The Blitzbokke were superb in their Scotland Sevens victory and were 12/1 to lift the Cup before kick-off! The Blitzbokke have lost a few players to the U20 Rugby World Cup which opens this weekend up. Predicting the Cup Winner will be a tall ask!
At the other end of the spectrum is the Qualifiers for Core Team status next season, Pools D and E are made up of the 8 teams that are in the Qualifiers with the Top 3 sides guaranteed core status next season. The likes of Russia, Hong Kong, Zimbabwe, Georgia and Tonga will challenge Scotland, Portugal and Spain for Core Status in the 2013/14 IRB Series.
Let’s look at the main contenders for the Cup Title this weekend:
New Zealand (5/2)
The All Black 7s lost their 3rd consecutive Cup Final to South Africa this season in Glasgow which will concern Gordon Tietjens heading into the 7s World Cup in June. Kurt Baker and Belgium Tuatagaloa are out this weekend adding to the injury list that includes Ben Lam, Scott Curry and DJ Forbes on the sidelines. It is not the strongest All Black 7s side and they are not worth backing at 5/2 especially with their recent lack of BMT in the Cup Finals.
South Africa (6/1)
The Blitzbokke were superb in Glasgow winning their 3rd Cup Final this season which has given them a great platform to finish the season in 2nd place. The Blitzbokke are without a key trio of Seabelo Senatla, Justin Geduld and Paul Deport who were the main factors behind their excellent Scotland 7s Win. Senatla and Geduld are on U20 World Cup duty while Delport is out injured. The good news for Paul Treu’s men is the return of Cecil Afrika, Bernado Botha and Tshotsho Mvobane to their squad. The Blitzbokke have been excellent in recent tournaments and are the form side at the moment. They cannot be ignored at 6/1 as Treu has become an excellent 7s tactician and adapts the Blitzbokke’s style of play to their opponents.
Fiji (4/1)
The Hong Kong Champs lost out to England in the Cup Quarters last weekend which was disappointing as they were unbeaten on Day 1 beating the likes of Spain 45-0, Argentina 28-10 and Australia 19-17. Fiji then lost to the USA in the Plate Semi-Finals to cap a poor Glasgow Sevens and they will be looking to bounce back this weekend. The Fijians are the best in the business when they are on form but are unpredictable and do seem to lose the plot when they are knocked out of the Cup competition. I expect them to dominate Day 1 this weekend which could set them up nicely for a decent Cup run. A good bet at 4/1.
Samoa (10/1)
Samoa are 4th on the IRB Standings and were disappointing in Glasgow. The Samoans were leading 17-0 against Canada on Day 1 with 2 minutes to spare and somehow managed to lose 19-17 which set the tone for the rest of their weekend. Australia dumped them out of the Bowl competition so they had little to show for their efforts in Scotland. Pesamino looked rusty and Samoa never really hit top gear. I expect an improved performance this weekend but cannot see them winning the Cup competition as the likes of Fiji, New Zealand and SA are better than them at the moment.
The Qualifiers explained
Pool A consists of Scotland, Hong Kong, Zimbabwe and Georgia with Pool B made up of Portugal, Spain, Tonga and Russia. The Quarter-Finals will be determined by a combined log of all 8 teams with the 1st seed facing the 8th seed, 2nd facing 6th and so on. Finishing as the top seed will go a long way in qualifying as the 1st set could face the 4th seed in the Semi-Finals, theoretically avoiding the other Current Core teams in the process. Points difference is going to be a massive factor so be that in mind when punting on these matches and the various handicaps! I will take Scotland on any handicap against Georgia as I expect the Georgians to be the whipping boys of the weekend.
The Pools:
Pool A – South Africa, United States, Australia, France
Poo B – New Zealand, Wales, Canada, Kenya
Pool C – England, Argentina, Fiji, Samoa
Outright Conclusion
From the outright betting, I fancy England to win this weekend. New Zealand lack the cutting edge that is required to win the Cup competition and are not value at 5/2 while the rest of the main contenders are all in Pool C! I expect England to lift their game in front of their home fans. They were excellent at times last weekend smashing Portugal 46-0 before edging out both Fiji (15-12) and Wales (24-21) to take 3rd place for the weekend. I expect them to sneak into the Final and at 5/1, they represent great value this weekend!
Suggested Bet – England to win at 5/1
Waratahs (-1.5) v Stormers (+1.5)
The Waratahs welcome the Stormers to Sydney in an interesting clash of Round 13. The Tahs absolutely demolished the fatigued Kings in PE last weekend, running in 11 tries in the process. The win put the Tahs 8th on the combined log, 5 points behind the 6th placed Cheetahs. The Stormers were patchy in their match against the Blues and narrowly lost out despite outscoring their Auckland opponents 2 tries to 0. Elton Jantjies made a hash of the last minute drop goal to the despair of Allistair Coetzee and his troops who are 6 points behind the Cheetahs in the SA Conference. The Stormers have made one change to their line-up with Eben Etzebeth returning which is a boost. The Tahs had not announced their side at the time of writing but are still without Berrick Barnes and Drew Mitchell. Looking at this clash and its understandable why the Waratahs are slight favourites as they have won 4 of their 5 matches in Sydney this season. The Waratahs have also notched up 31 tries in 2013 while the Stormers have only managed 17 tries! The Stormers are far better defensively having conceded 11 tries this season while the Waratahs have let in a whopping 25 tries! The Stormers will need to keep their defensive structures and the return of Etzebeth will definitely help. I fancy the Stormers to grind out an ugly victory on Saturday and will take the Stormers +1.5 as a precaution. I will also have a small stab on the Stormers to win by 1 to 5 points at 9/2.
Stats
Head to Head in Sydney
Round 8, 2009 – Waratahs 12 Stormers 6
Round 7, 2007 – Waratahs 10 Stormers 16
Round 4, 2005 – Waratahs 25 Stormers 10
Round 5, 2003 – Waratahs 29 Stormers 39
Form
Waratahs (L,W,L,W,W)
Stormers (L,W,B,W,L)
Kings (+7.5) v Highlanders (-7.5)
The Battle of the basement takes place on Saturday evening when the Highlanders travel to PE to take on the Kings. The Kings suffered their first humiliating defeat of the season last weekend as the Waratahs gave them a pasting, running in 11 tries. It was a woeful performance for the men from PE and their 3rd successive defeat which has them bottom of the SA Conference. The Kings are still above the Highlanders on the log standings though. The Highlanders snapped an 8 game losing streak last weekend as they managed to edge the Sharks in a thriller in Dunedin. The Sharks had a healthy half-time lead but the Highlanders hit back with some superb running rugby . The Highlanders were desperate for the win and that should lift them going into this clash. The Highlanders will also take confidence in the manner of the Kings defeat last weekend and their backline is set for a field day, despite the injury to Ma’a Nonu. Luke Watson returns to the starting line-up for the Kings but Jacques Engelbrecht and Sergeal Petersen are out as they have BabyBoks duty. I really fancy the Highlanders to compound matters for the Kings and win this match comfortably. The Highlanders have showed glimpses of brilliance on attack this season with their defensive structures letting them down in most of their defeats. The Highlanders have a far superior backline and that will be the difference between the sides. I fancy a fairly sized bet on the Highlanders -7.5 on the full-time handicap and a medium sized bet on the Highlanders -3.5 on the half-time handicap.
Stats
Head to Head
First meeting between sides
Form
Kings (L,L,L,W,D)
Highlanders (W,B,L,L,L,)
Reds (-5.5) v Sharks (+5.5)
The Reds take on the Sharks at Suncorp Stadium on Friday and will be looking to get a win under their belts after two draws in their last three matches. The Reds have dropped to 2nd in the Aussie Conference, just 2 points behind the Brumbies. The Sharks have lost 3 consecutive games on the trot and are battling to put a starting XV together! The Sharks are tie 3rd on the SA Conference log and trail the 2nd placed Bulls by 8 points. The Sharks will take confidence from their last visit to Brisbane where they put in their performance of 2012, beating the reigning Champs 30-17 in their own backyard. The Sharks injury list grew last weekend with Frans Steyn and Craig Burden joining the crowded sick bay! JP Pietersen moves to centre which enables Piet Lindeque to get his 2nd start on the wing. Jannie du Plessis gets a rest with Wiehann Herbst coming in at tighthead. JC van Rensburg starts at loosehead and Jean Deysel starts at flank. The Reds welcome Rod Davies back to their starting line-up making up a formidable trio with Ioane and Lance in the backline. Looking at this clash, the Reds will be disappointed with their draw last weekend and will be looking to keep their excellent home record in tact while the Sharks are low on confidence and far from their best starting XV. The Genia/Cooper pairing gets better with each game and this looks like a match where the Reds halfback pair could flourish. I expect the Reds to run riot against the Sharks and expect them to win by double figures making the Reds -5.5 on the handicap the standout bet for Friday!
Stats
Head to Head in Brisbane
Eliminator, 2012 – Reds 17 Sharks 30
Round 5, 2009 – Reds 25 Sharks 13
Round 10, 2007 – Reds 16 Sharks 59
Round 9, 2005 – Reds 30 Sharks 25
Form
Reds (D,W,D,W,B)
Sharks (L,L,L, W,B)
Cheetahs (-7..5) v Hurricanes (+7..5)
The High-Flying Cheetahs take on the Hurricanes in a key clash on Friday Night. The Cheetahs are coming off a BYE weekend and are 2nd in the SA Conference and 6th on the Combined Super Rugby Table. The Cheetahs have been the surprise package in the SA Conference and will fancy their chances this weekend against a Canes side that got thumped by the Bulls last time out. The Canes are 4th on the NZ Log and in 11th spot on the Combined Table. The team news for this clash for the Cheetahs is that Frans Viljoen comes in for the injured Lappies Labuschagne and the big news in the Canes camp is that inspirational centre, Conrad Smith is out after his concussion last weekend. Looking at the betting and a standout bet would be going over on the points total as this clash has a history of being high scoring as both sides play good running rugby. An average of 59 points has been scored in Bloem when these sides meet so I will be looking into the total points market before kick-off! The handicap of Cheetahs -7.5 is appealing as the Canes have lost 3 of their 4 away matches this season by an average margin of 20 points! The loss of Smith is massive for the Canes as his leadership qualities will be sorely missed. The Canes have also been far to inconsistent to be backed while the Cheetahs have showed power in their forward pack and quality ball by their backs. Willie le Roux has been a standout player for the Cheetahs this season and he should continue his form which should give the Cheetahs a double digit victory. Cheetahs -7.5 looks a cracker of a bet!
Stats
Head to Head in Bloemfontein
Round 9, 2011 – Cheetahs 47 Hurricanes 50
Round 4, 2010 – Cheetahs 28 Hurricanes 12
Round 11, 2008 – Cheetahs 10 Hurricanes 38
Round 4, 2006 – Cheetahs 27 Hurricanes 25
Form
Cheetahs (B,W,W,L,W)
Hurricanes (L,L,W,L,W)

What a week for rugby fans. Heineken Cup semi-finals, Lions tour squad announcements and the venues for Rugby World Cup 2015 confirmed.
This all coming on the back of a Super Rugby weekend that was the most predictable we’ve had in terms of results, but not in terms of handicaps where there were still a few big surprises!
Hopefully you’re finding a bit of a tempo with your Super Rugby betting – picking where the potential speedbumps might be lurking and having the conviction to pick your bets more carefully and follow through with some solid bets when you’ve made your picks.
It hasn’t been easy, but hopefully now is the time to get on a bit of a roll.
Let’s have a look at this weekend’s fixtures and I’ll give you my five fancies for the weekend.
ROSSLEE’S FIVE FANCIES
Stormers by 6-10 @6.75
Chiefs penalty / Chiefs win @4.10
Highlanders HT / Highlanders FT @2.60
Kings v Waratahs – Total Match Tries over 10 @23.00
Bulls penalty / Bulls win @3.20
The Sevens circuit rolls into Scotland this weekend for the penultimate event of the 2012/13 IRB Sevens Series. New Zealand are a massive 32 points ahead of 2nd place South Africa on the standings and they look set to retain their IRB Sevens Title and can wrap it up if they progress to the Cup Quarter Finals this weekend.
The Blitzbokke were sensational in the Tokyo Sevens last time out beating New Zealand 24-19 in the Final to win their 2nd Cup Title this season. Australia took 3rd place ahead of France, the USA took the Plate, England won the bowl and Canada picked up the Shield title.
This weekend will be critical at the bottom of the table with the 3 lowest-ranked of the current 15 core teams will have to play off for the three available core team places on the 2013/14 Series. Spain, USA and Portugal occupy those spots at the moment and they will all be fighting for their lives this weekend so keep that in mind with their matches!
Here is a look at the main contenders for the Scotland Cup:
New Zealand (2/1)
The 7s All Blacks are without DJ Forbes for the last two tournaments after he was ruled out with a foot injury so they will be captained by Tim Mikkelson. The All Blacks are boosted massively by the returning trio of Tomasi Cama (IRB Sevens Player of the Year 2012), Kurt Baker and Scott Curry. Cama is the best flyhalf and creative talent on the Sevens circuit while Kurt Baker is primed for the 7s backline and will bring a new dimension to the Kiwi’s play. The Kiwis should easily top their group and wrap up Title number 11 and will be looking to go one better than their Cup runner-up at the Tokyo 7s.
South Africa (12/1)
The Blitzbokke were excellent in Tokyo winning their 2nd Cup Final of the season beating New Zealand in some style. The massive team news for SA is that they are without Branco du Preez and Cecil Afrika which is a huge blow to Paul Treu’s cause as both men were critical to their Cup winning success in Japan. The Blitzbokke are 2nd on the overall standings and will face a tough ask to top Pool A which includes Samoa and Kenya, both of whom have made Cup Final appearances this season. I cannot see the Blitzbokke repeating their Japan success and a Cup Semi Final spot is as far as I can see them going this weekend.
Fiji (7/2)
The Hong Kong Champs lost out to Australia in the Cup Quarter-Finals last time out and will be looking to put on a decent showing in Glasgow. Two of Fiji’s Sevens captains this season, Lepani Botia and Setefano Cakau, have been recalled into squad for this weekend. The Fijians have also included Joji Raqamate and Ilai Tinai who are superb talents on the 7s circuit. Fiji should top Pool B and look set to face New Zealand in the Cup Final and look a good shout at 7/2.
Samoa (6/1)
Samoa are 4th on the IRB Standings and had a disappointing Day 2 in Japan where they lost to South Africa in the Cup Quarter Finals and got dumped out of the Plate by the United States. The Samoans have been greatly boosted by the return of Mikaele Pesamino to their squad who makes his 1st appearance this season. Pesamino was an integral part of the Samoan 2010 IRB Circuit winning team and picked up the IRB Sevens player of the Year that season. His pace should alleviate the loss of Paul Perez who is out with an injury. Samoa look a great shout at 6/1 to lift the Cup this weekend.
The Pools:
Pool A – South Africa, Samoa, Kenya, Canada
Poo B – New Zealand, Scotland, England, Portugal
Pool C – Australia, Fiji, Argentina, Spain
Pool D – France, USA, Wales, Russia
Outright Conclusion
From the outright betting, I fancy Fiji to lift the Cup Title. New Zealand should wrap up the IRB Sevens Title but I think that will hurt their motivation to lift the Cup in Scotland. Fiji have added serious talent to their side and they will definitely make the Cup Final in my opinion. The odds of 7/2 represent massive value for them to lift the Cup and that is where my money is headed this weekend.
Suggested Bet – Fiji to win at 7/2
Pool Betting
Voltbet have markets for the winner of each Pool, I fancy a treble on Samoa/New Zealand and Fiji to top their Pools at odds of just under 5/1 which looks a great bet to keep the interest in Day 1 of the Scotland Sevens on Saturday.
Suggested Treble – Samoa, New Zealand and Fiji to win their Pools at 4.77/1
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